Friday, October 31, 2008

So let me ask this

I'm going to participate, as ever. I'll post my map tomorrow.

But I'm just curious how this is going to be any different from Fantasy Baseball. We'll all make selections and the Goldmans will just follow Nate Silver's advice and win.

Stakes and Formula

So, in a completely in character suggestion, Richard said we should make it interesting by having the loser have to face some tangible consequences (his suggestion being to eat a burger with buns of butter. personally, that sound delicious to me so I don't think that works, but whatever). Anyway, I'll have to give some thought to that and also to how to determine who wins and loses. Seems to me that just choosing whoever comes closest to the electoral college outcome isn't good because you could be way off on the states you pick and still luck into getting close to the right total number of electoral votes. Maybe the best way is to have it be a question of who picks the most states correctly, with electoral college vote predictions being the tiebreaker. Something else to think about. Thoughts on these things anyone?

An example Map

While this is the way the electoral map SHOULD look, this isn't my official prediction, I just wanted to put an example up there of what the map will look like if you correctly embed it.

<p><strong>><a href='http://projects.washingtonpost.com/2008/pick-your-president/'>2008 Election Contest: Pick Your President</a></strong> - Predict the winner of the 2008 presidential election.</p>

How to do this

I found a good way for us to all share our predictions. Go to this link:

http://projects.washingtonpost.com/2008/pick-your-president/

It's a contest a the Washington Post's website to pick the electoral outcome. Basically, to get your predictions here, you just go there, make your picks and then click "Enter." On the screen that comes up, there's a box that says "Embed Your Map." You copy the entirety of what's in that box, come here, make a new post and then paste the embed data into your post and publish the post. That's all it should take. Make sure to have the title of your post be "[Insert your name]'s Prediction" or something like that so we can keep track. Remember, your honor is on the line here so choose carefully. Bad picks will be mercilessly mocked for at least the next 4 years. No pressure.

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