David's Pick

Like last election, I'm going to err on the side of the optimistic but plausible with Obama winning everywhere he won last time except Indiana, North Carolina and that one Nebraska electoral vote. I see him squeaking by in Florida with that being the closest state he wins and roughly a 51-49 national popular vote margin. For my bonus predictions, neither bold, I will say the Democrats retain the Senate, don't make much progress in the House, and Yes on 1 wins in Maine. Obama wins 332-206